Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Mount Gambier Pioneers		Waverley Falcons

	1	2
			Watch
	1.24	3.3
	1.2	3.88
	1.17	4.34	Watch
	1.27	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.1)	3.73 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mount Gambier Pioneers
75.4%

Waverley Falcons
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mount Gambier Pioneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mount Gambier Pioneers's form might have worsened.

Waverley Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waverley Falcons's recent form is better than expected.

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mount Gambier won 3.

Mount Gambier is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Waverley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Mount Gambier has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mount Gambier is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mount Gambier won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 538:540. (average 76.9:77.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mount Gambier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 302:333. (average 75.5:83.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mount Gambier Pioneers Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
17.04.26	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Ballarat Miners	96:94 OT ✺
11.04.26	Geelong United - Mount Gambier Pioneers	82:87 ✺
11.04.26	Diamond Valley Eagles - Mount Gambier Pioneers	87:93 OT ✺
28.03.26	Melbourne Tigers - Mount Gambier Pioneers	77:95 ✺
28.03.26	Ringwood Hawks - Mount Gambier Pioneers	76:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW
- Waverley Falcons Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
16.04.26	Kilsyth Cobras - Waverley Falcons	82:80 ✺
11.04.26	Waverley Falcons - Hobart Chargers	86:76 ✺
11.04.26	Nunawading Spectres - Waverley Falcons	83:73 OT ✺
02.04.26	Waverley Falcons - Melbourne Tigers	75:55 ✺
28.03.26	Waverley Falcons - Sandringham Sabres	60:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
25.04.25	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons	47:73
03.08.24	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons	73:92
06.04.24	Waverley Falcons - Mount Gambier Pioneers	66:95
15.07.23	Waverley Falcons - Mount Gambier Pioneers	71:77
12.05.23	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons	97:81
26.08.22	Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons	85:87 OT (74:74)
13.08.22	Waverley Falcons - Mount Gambier Pioneers	70:64

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Waverley Falcons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide