Match Info

NCAA

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Illinois State Redbirds		Murray State Racers

	1	2
	1.7	2.1
	1.63	2.18
	1.74	2.16
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.71	2.15
	1.69	2.09
	1.74	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.61)	2.12 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Illinois State Redbirds
55.4%

Murray State Racers
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois State Redbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Murray State Racers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois State Redbirds than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murray State Racers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Illinois State Redbirds - Murray State Racers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:77

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illinois State won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Illinois State will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Illinois State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 835:864. (average 69.6:72).

Including home matches between the teams, Illinois State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 351:364. (average 70.2:72.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois State Redbirds basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.02.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds	83:56 ✺
12.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	86:64 ✺
09.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois State Redbirds	88:80 ✺
06.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Drake Bulldogs	86:76 ✺
03.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Southern Illinois Salukis	50:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Murray State Racers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.02.26	Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins	70:87 ✺
12.02.26	Indiana State Sycamores - Murray State Racers	72:74 ✺
09.02.26	Murray State Racers - Northern Iowa Panthers	60:89 ✺
06.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Murray State Racers	81:91 ✺
03.02.26	Murray State Racers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	81:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
28.01.26	Murray State Racers - Illinois State Redbirds	65:70
02.01.25	Murray State Racers - Illinois State Redbirds	68:74
30.01.24	Murray State Racers - Illinois State Redbirds	59:61
03.12.23	Illinois State Redbirds - Murray State Racers	76:72
15.02.23	Illinois State Redbirds - Murray State Racers	75:76
01.12.22	Murray State Racers - Illinois State Redbirds	70:67 OT (62:62)
16.11.21	Illinois State Redbirds - Murray State Racers	65:77

Illinois State Redbirds - Murray State Racers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide