Match Info

Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Polideportivo Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)


	Nacional		Defensor Sporting

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.15
	1.32	3.62
	1.31	3.06	Watch
	1.29	3.25
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.16	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.21)	3.25 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
71.8%

Defensor Sporting
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Nacional - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Barrera B.	43. Colmenares N.
4. Feldeine J.	1. Rudd V.
23. Oglivie E.	77. Soto F. (C)
10. Parodi L.	3. Weaver E.
24. Zinaich C.	13. Zubiaurre M.
Substitutes
8. Cabot M.	9. Antunes M.
20. Gomez P.	45. Bianchi M.
2. Imas L.	27. De Leon F.
3. Mendez A.	11. Gomez B.
88. Pereira F.	23. MacMullen M.
21. Prieto P. (C)	00. Metzger T.
22. Superi E.	15. Terra F.
Coaches
. Ponce A.	. Brea G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1493:1330. (average 74.7:66.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 745:628. (average 74.5:62.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo Basketball
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
28.04.26	Nacional - Hebraica y Macabi	81:79 ✺
25.04.26	Aguada - Nacional	101:82 ✺
22.04.26	Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	82:84 ✺
Champions League Americas Basketball
18.04.26	Nacional - Flamengo	89:79 ✺
17.04.26	Nacional - Franca	71:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL
- BC Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
28.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Aguada	88:60 ✺
14.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	79:80 OT ✺
11.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	92:84 OT ✺
30.03.26	Hebraica y Macabi - Defensor Sporting	80:84 ✺
26.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Nacional	68:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
26.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Nacional	68:80
12.02.26	Defensor Sporting - Nacional	82:73
31.10.25	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	80:61
09.05.25	Defensor Sporting - Nacional	80:85
06.05.25	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	90:82
02.05.25	Defensor Sporting - Nacional	87:77
28.04.25	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	97:61

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