Match Info
Champions League Americas - Play Offs - 3rd placeDate: 18 April 2026, Saturday
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Nacional |
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Flamengo |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nacional 57.3% | Flamengo 42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+17.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nacional - Flamengo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5, OT - Nacional (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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51. Espindola G.
| 9. Baralle F. A.
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4. Feldeine J.
| 2. Cummings M.
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3. Mendez A.
| 1. Deodato
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14. Thomas E.
| 22. Johnson S.
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24. Zinaich C.
| 21. Wesley
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| Substitutes |
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33. Barrera B.
| 18. Doria L.
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8. Cabot M.
| 7. Dos Santos J.
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20. Gomez P.
| 13. Emanuel Fernades
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30. Martinez N.
| 92. Gueiros M.
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23. Oglivie E.
| 23. Kayo Manfio
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10. Parodi L.
| 8. Lugarini B.
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21. Prieto P.
| 44. Negrete A.
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| Coaches |
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. Ponce A.
| . Hernandez S.
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Preview
Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Flamengo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 259:218. (average 86.3:72.7).Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 164:142. (average 82:71).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;