Match Info

Premier League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Orenburzhje Sport Hall (Orenburg)


	Nadezhda Orenburg		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.34		2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)		2.99 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nadezhda Orenburg
69.1%

Dynamo Moscow
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nadezhda Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nadezhda Orenburg than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nadezhda Orenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Beverly-Kelley A.	9. Marchenkova A.
7. Kolosovskaia D.	11. McCarty-Williams B.
9. Komarova A.	0. Pierre-Louis V.
22. Komarova E.	22. Zaitseva A.
21. Zotkina A.	43. Zaryazhko E.
Substitutes
27. Afanasenko K.	51. Komissarenko A.
5. Badina A.	7. Kuznetsova A.
1. Kryzhanouskaya M.	91. Nesterova K.
55. Kuznetsova P.	50. Petrova O.
13. Monroe J.	17. Pozdnyakova A.
23. Pashkovskaya Y.	97. Shabanova E.
	6. Shtanko A.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nadezhda won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Nadezhda has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nadezhda is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nadezhda won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1631:1151. (average 81.6:57.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nadezhda won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 897:634. (average 81.5:57.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Dynamo Moscow W	1	1	0	88:73	2
5	Nadezhda W	1	1	0	77:67	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nadezhda Orenburg
Russian Premier League Basketball Women
04.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg	70:78 ✺
23.02.26	UMMC Ekaterinburg - Nadezhda Orenburg	89:65 ✺
19.02.26	Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Kursk	53:64 ✺
15.02.26	Nika Syktyvkar - Nadezhda Orenburg	81:82 OT ✺
10.02.26	UMMC Ekaterinburg - Nadezhda Orenburg	80:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWL
- Dynamo Moscow Basketball Women
Russian Premier League Basketball Women
04.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg	70:78 ✺
23.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	71:76 ✺
19.02.26	Dynamo Moscow - Nika Syktyvkar	97:98 ✺
14.02.26	UMMC Ekaterinburg - Dynamo Moscow	98:62 ✺
08.02.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Dynamo Moscow	52:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League Basketball Women
04.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg	70:78
08.12.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	67:79
01.10.25	Dynamo Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg	71:72 OT
26.11.24	Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	77:71
27.03.24	Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	76:55
31.01.24	Dynamo Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg	47:79
02.12.23	Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	85:61

Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide