The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagasaki Velca 53.1%
Altiri Chiba 46.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.8%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.4%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagasaki Velca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nagasaki Velca's form might have worsened.
Altiri Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altiri Chiba's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nagasaki Velca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altiri Chiba than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altiri Chiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nagasaki Velca - Altiri Chiba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Aguilar P.
9. Ando S.
7. Brantley J.
1. Davis A.
13. Hoshikawa K.
0. Kida T.
9. Morikawa M.
2. Newbill D.
10. Nagano I.
7. Pardon D.
Substitutes
11. Kumagai K.
5. Aoki B.
1. Matsumoto K. (C)
8. Hasegawa T. (C)
15. Platt S.
27. Kumagai N.
20. Randolph L.
3. Kurokawa K.
14. Takahira K.
11. Sugimoto K.
32. Tanaka L.
42. Watanabe L.
77. Tsuchiya A.
Coaches
. Vickerman D.
. Lemanis A.
Preview
Nagasaki has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Altiri Chiba has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Altiri Chiba could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Nagasaki is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Nagasaki in today's match, at odds of 1.32.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Nagasaki has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 196:165 (averaging 98:82.5 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Nagasaki Velca - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 68.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Aguilar P. 
Ando S. 
Brantley J. 
Newbill D. 
Vickerman D. 
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