Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Winners stage

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez (Nanterre)

Referee: Baki K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	DAZN 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Nanterre		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.88	1.37	Watch
	2.98	1.39
	2.77	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.79	1.43	Watch
	2.88	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.71)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanterre
33.2%

UCAM Murcia
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanterre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanterre than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Nanterre - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nanterre will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Murcia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nanterre: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Howard W.	35. Birgander S.
6. Lacombe P.	4. Gates K.
17. Prkacin R.	22. Hakanson L.
23. Rodriguez D.	12. Radebaugh J.
8. Sene B. (C)	8. Sant-Roos H.
Substitutes
10. Barbitch M.	37. Antetokounmpo K.
22. Dussoulier L.	21. Diagne M.
0. Fischer L.	31. Ennis D.
29. Pons T.	6. Garcia D.
1. Tillman J.	00. Kurucs R.
80. Zulemie N.	11. Radovic N. (C)
	30. Stephens D. J.
Coaches
. Donnadieu P.	. Alonso S.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nanterre have a series of home games.

Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nanterre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 84:95

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JSF Nanterre
Champions League Basketball
11.03.25	Nanterre - Nymburk	77:100 ✺
French LNB
09.03.25	Nanterre - ASVEL Basket	74:88 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.03.25	Nymburk - Nanterre	86:90 ✺
French LNB
28.02.25	Nanterre - Gravelines	93:80 ✺
French Cup Basketball
11.02.25	Nanterre - Cholet Basket	84:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
15.03.25	UCAM Murcia - Girona	64:76 ✺
Champions League Basketball
12.03.25	UCAM Murcia - Falco Szombathely	85:63 ✺
Spanish ACB League
09.03.25	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	80:75 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.03.25	Falco Szombathely - UCAM Murcia	90:104 OT ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.03.25	Granada - UCAM Murcia	82:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
29.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Nanterre	95:84

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