Match Info

ACB - Round 12

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Palacio de Deportes (Granada)

Referee: Chueca A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Granada		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
	4	1.24	Watch
	3.85	1.25	Watch
	3.68	1.26	Watch
	3.5	1.25
	3.81	1.28	Watch
	4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.11)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
24.8%

UCAM Murcia
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Granada's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Granada - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Murcia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 50%). Murcia (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +8.5, OT - Granada (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 3 - 60%). Murcia (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Bozic L.	15. Cate E.
15. Costa L.	5. DeJulius D.
25. Howard W.	31. Ennis D.
7. Olumuyiwa B.	13. Falk W.
13. Thomas M.	2. Raieste S.
Substitutes
37. Brimah A.	0. Cacok D.
77. Burjanadze B.	21. Diagne M.
16. Duran E.	1. Forrest M.
22. Munnings T.	24. Hicks Z.
24. Perez J.	99. Nakic T.
2. Rousselle J.	12. Radebaugh J.
19. Tomas P.	8. Sant-Roos H.
Coaches
. Diaz R.	. Alonso S.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 1.

Granada has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Murcia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murcia is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Granada won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 741:741. (average 82.3:82.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 337:336. (average 84.3:84).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Granada
Spanish ACB League
20.12.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Granada	90:85 ✺
13.12.25	BC Andorra - Granada	86:81 ✺
06.12.25	Granada - Basket Zaragoza	83:92 ✺
22.11.25	Granada - Real Madrid	100:111 ✺
15.11.25	Girona - Granada	82:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
21.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Valencia	92:80 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.12.25	Trefl Sopot - UCAM Murcia	77:93 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Joventut Badalona	80:77 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Falco Szombathely	97:67 ✺
Spanish ACB League
06.12.25	San Pablo Burgos - UCAM Murcia	88:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
28.09.25	Granada - UCAM Murcia	66:77
Spanish ACB League
01.03.25	Granada - UCAM Murcia	82:88
28.12.24	UCAM Murcia - Granada	84:81
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Granada	72:85
Spanish ACB League
11.02.24	UCAM Murcia - Granada	91:78
23.09.23	Granada - UCAM Murcia	101:104 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
02.09.23	UCAM Murcia - Granada	76:71

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