Match Info

Lega A - Round 8

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Referee: Quarta D. (Ita)


	Napoli Basket		Basket Brescia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.46	1.55
	2.37	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.05)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
41.3%

Basket Brescia
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Basket Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Napoli Basket - Basket Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Napoli Basket will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Brescia (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Bolton R.	2. Bilan M.
30. Caruso G.	8. Della V. A.
1. Flagg S.	18. Ivanovic N.
3. Mitrou-Long N.	9. Ndour M.
25. Simms A.	23. Rivers D.
Substitutes
8. Croswell E.	10. Burnell J.
5. El Amin I.	25. Cournooh D.
10. Faggian L.	6. Doneda A.
22. Gentile S.	3. Ferrero G.
14. Gloria M.	21. Mobio J.
11. Saccoccia S.	7. Santinon M.
18. Treier K.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Cotelli M.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 2.

Recent performances by Napoli Basket have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brescia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brescia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 866:933. (average 78.7:84.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli Basket won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 384:412. (average 76.8:82.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.11.25	Basket Trento - Napoli Basket	87:93 ✺
05.11.25	Napoli Basket - Trapani	90:97 ✺
02.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Napoli Basket	87:76 ✺
26.10.25	Napoli Basket - Reggiana	95:87 ✺
19.10.25	Treviso Basket - Napoli Basket	79:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLWW
- Basket Brescia
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.11.25	Basket Brescia - Trieste	98:75 ✺
05.11.25	Basket Brescia - Olimpia Milano	98:92 ✺
02.11.25	Trapani - Basket Brescia	77:75 ✺
26.10.25	Basket Brescia - Cantù	104:94 ✺
19.10.25	Udine - Basket Brescia	72:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
02.02.25	Napoli Basket - Basket Brescia	90:85
15.12.24	Basket Brescia - Napoli Basket	97:84
Italian Cup Basketball
15.02.24	Basket Brescia - Napoli Basket	74:80
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.02.24	Napoli Basket - Basket Brescia	83:104
15.10.23	Basket Brescia - Napoli Basket	80:71
01.04.23	Napoli Basket - Basket Brescia	69:72
04.12.22	Basket Brescia - Napoli Basket	95:72

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