Match Info

LNB - Clausura - Winners

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Gimnasio Municipal Puerto Montt (Puerto Montt)


	Puerto Montt		Ancud

	1	2
	1.87	1.80
	2.12	1.64
	2.24	1.54
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	1.95	1.69
	2.20	1.60
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.48)	1.73 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Montt
46.3%

Ancud
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Montt's form might have worsened.

Ancud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancud's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Montt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancud than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ancud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Puerto Montt - Ancud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Alvarez T.	4. Lopez A.
18. Barrios L.	9. Morales F.
14. Mitchell-Watkins K.	23. Moreno L.
6. Puiggros A.	3. Scott S. I.
21. Singleton S.	12. Vega P.
Substitutes
15. Bartsch A.	6. Ezeagu B.
47. Gomez S.	20. Gomez H.
8. Montero A.	99. Guzman S.
13. Rubio Romero C.	24. Lami G.
3. Sepulveda B.	13. Munoz N.
5. Torres C.	8. Rojas L.
	11. Vera R.
Coaches
. Musso C.	. Maldonado R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Puerto Montt holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Puerto Montt in today's match, at odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Montt has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1476:1713 (averaging 73.8:85.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Montt against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 571:708 goals (averaging 71.4:88.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura - Winners

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Puerto Montt	6	4	2	496:488	10
6	Ancud	8	2	6	616:663	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CEB Puerto Montt
Chilean LNB
02.10.26	Puerto Montt - Universidad De Concepción	87:92 ✺
27.09.26	Universidad De Concepción - Puerto Montt	87:59 ✺
24.09.26	Ancud - Puerto Montt	83:94 ✺
16.09.26	Puerto Montt - Puerto Varas	82:78 ✺
14.09.26	Puerto Varas - Puerto Montt	68:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWW
- CD AB Ancud
Chilean LNB
02.10.26	Puerto Varas - Ancud	73:72 ✺
28.09.26	Ancud - Puerto Varas	79:74 ✺
24.09.26	Ancud - Puerto Montt	83:94 ✺
16.09.26	Ancud - Espanol Osorno	74:65 ✺
14.09.26	Deportivo Valdivia - Ancud	89:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
24.09.26	Ancud - Puerto Montt	83:94
15.08.26	Ancud - Puerto Montt	66:88
24.07.26	Puerto Montt - Ancud	71:86
29.04.26	Puerto Montt - Ancud	88:90
08.04.26	Ancud - Puerto Montt	76:86
19.04.24	Ancud - Puerto Montt	87:70
27.01.24	Puerto Montt - Ancud	80:92

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