Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Parlak P. (Tur)


	Tallinna Kalev		Absheron Lions

	1	2
			Watch
	1.17	4.4	Watch
	1.14	5.26
	1.16	4.12	Watch
	1.19	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.16)	4.57 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
79.7%

Absheron Lions
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Absheron Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tallinna Kalev - Absheron Lions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 170, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Acuff T.	0. Frazier J.
13. Hermet K.	5. Jackson D.
9. Kaukiainen S.	1. McAlpine A.
15. Miska A.	17. Orelik G.
1. Rosenthal M.	7. Shaw J.
Substitutes
7. Kasemets K.	2. Abdullayev I.
8. Kurbas T.	22. Chidom A.
11. Kuuba G.	77. Donat S.
0. Makke E.	11. Ibrahimov A.
10. Toom H.	8. Mammadli N.
Coaches
. Reinbok I.	. Toker E.

Preview

Recent performances by Kalev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Absheron is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kalev has had a series of away games.

Recently, Absheron has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kalev is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kalev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 93:85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
01.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Keila	117:70 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Trefl Sopot - Tallinna Kalev	93:58 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
25.10.25	Pärnu - Tallinna Kalev	78:86 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
21.10.25	Neftçi - Tallinna Kalev	95:84 OT ✺
16.10.25	Absheron Lions - Tallinna Kalev	85:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW
- Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Absheron Lions - Neftçi	86:104 ✺
22.10.25	Absheron Lions - Trefl Sopot	96:99 ✺
16.10.25	Absheron Lions - Tallinna Kalev	85:93 ✺
01.10.25	Anorthosis - Absheron Lions	77:60 ✺
24.09.25	Absheron Lions - Anorthosis	89:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
16.10.25	Absheron Lions - Tallinna Kalev	85:93

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