Match Info

NBL

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Trafalgar Centre (Nelson)


	Nelson Giants		Franklin Bulls

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.36	2.90	Watch
	1.55	2.33
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.51	2.39
	1.51	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)	2.52 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nelson Giants
63%

Franklin Bulls
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nelson Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Franklin Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nelson Giants than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franklin Bulls than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nelson Giants - Franklin Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Franklin Bulls will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Gatling S.	4. Boyd D.
67. Judd L.	0. Carter J. (C)
77. Luukkonen E.	25. Kelman-Poto D.
0. McNaught A. (C)	24. Robinson K.
43. Saylor D.	11. Whitt C.
Substitutes
41. Evans F.	5. Anderson Z.
1. Inwood E.	1. Biggar E.
42. Kerr E.	16. Hughes P.
35. Matthews J.	8. Kelso H.
11. Nickel J.	28. Pakaurangi T.
25. Sinclair J.	38. Perry B.
7. Varricchio R.	10. Savill H.
Coaches
. Fitchett M.	. Ryan D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nelson Giants won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Franklin Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nelson Giants is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nelson Giants won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1098:1097. (average 84.5:84.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nelson Giants won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 579:594. (average 82.7:84.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nelson Giants
New Zealand NBL
28.06.26	Nelson Giants - Auckland Tuatara	82:88 ✺
26.06.26	Wellington Saints - Nelson Giants	111:109 OT ✺
17.06.26	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	92:79 ✺
12.06.26	Nelson Giants - Southland Sharks	85:95 ✺
06.06.26	Tauranga Whai - Nelson Giants	69:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Franklin Bulls
New Zealand NBL
27.06.26	Franklin Bulls - Tauranga Whai	79:93 ✺
20.06.26	Franklin Bulls - Wellington Saints	67:81 ✺
13.06.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Franklin Bulls	101:95 OT ✺
07.06.26	Southland Sharks - Franklin Bulls	86:75 ✺
05.06.26	Otago Nuggets - Franklin Bulls	93:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
08.05.26	Franklin Bulls - Nelson Giants	97:73
17.05.25	Franklin Bulls - Nelson Giants	80:91
28.03.25	Nelson Giants - Franklin Bulls	83:94
26.05.24	Franklin Bulls - Nelson Giants	95:105
31.03.24	Nelson Giants - Franklin Bulls	85:86
28.05.23	Franklin Bulls - Nelson Giants	81:70
15.04.23	Nelson Giants - Franklin Bulls	84:95

Nelson Giants - Franklin Bulls: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide