The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nelson Giants 40.4%
Manawatu Jets 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.8%
52.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
48.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nelson Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nelson Giants's form might have worsened.
Manawatu Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manawatu Jets's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nelson Giants than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nelson Giants, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manawatu Jets than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manawatu Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nelson Giants will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Manawatu Jets will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nelson Giants (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:94
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
67. Judd L.
25. Evans K.
77. Luukkonen E.
24. Poplar Jr. J. A.
0. McNaught A.
10. Sand K. (C)
5. Perrott-Hunt K.
4. Small I.
18. Smith-Milner T.
0. Webster T.
Substitutes
10. Dempster S. (C)
15. Abbott I.
3. Gatling S.
3. Caldwell B.
1. Inwood E.
7. Leota R.
35. Matthews J.
8. Makoii I.
11. Nickel J.
1. McDaniel C.
12. Rampton Z.
2. Richards L.
7. Varricchio R.
13. Zahran H.
Coaches
. Fitchett M.
. Webster T.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nelson Giants won 4.
Recent form of Nelson Giants has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Manawatu Jets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Manawatu Jets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Manawatu Jets might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nelson Giants won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1795:1660. (average 94.5:87.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nelson Giants won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 860:769. (average 95.6:85.4).
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Judd L. 
Luukkonen E. 
Poplar Jr. J. A. 
