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Current Win Probability
Hawkes Bay Hawks 53.4%
Franklin Bulls 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawkes Bay Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Franklin Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay Hawks than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawkes Bay Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franklin Bulls than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Franklin Bulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hawkes Bay Hawks - Franklin Bulls Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:95
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Burton A.
4. Boyd D.
11. Grida D.
0. Carter J.
88. Jeter C.
25. Kelman-Poto D.
23. McLaughlin J.
24. Robinson K.
22. Rasmussen K.
11. Whitt C.
Substitutes
12. Allan I.
5. Anderson Z.
17. Bush C.
1. Biggar E.
2. Casson B.
16. Hughes P.
1. Costley K.
8. Kelso H.
24. Eagle E.
15. Marsh A.
3. Kara K.
28. Pakaurangi T.
7. Murphy J.
10. Savill H.
Coaches
. Lopez W.
. Ryan D.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 1.
Hawkes Bay Hawks is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Franklin Bulls has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Franklin Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hawkes Bay Hawks has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 959:960. (average 87.2:87.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay Hawks won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 423:453. (average 84.6:90.6).
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Burton A. 
Boyd D. 
Grida D. 
Savill H. 
