Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas-Akvaservis		Kretinga

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.68
	1.3	3.15
	1.38	2.78	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.39	2.62
	1.31	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	2.74 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
66.8%

Kretinga
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas-Akvaservis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kretinga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neptūnas Akvaservis - Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Jonkus E. (C)	6. Danys E.
77. Lesciauskas K.	22. Kazakauskas J.
16. Macijauskas M.	5. Staniulis M.
13. Maciulis R.	55. Warren J.
24. Metrikis K.	13. Zabita R. (C)
Substitutes
1. Erlickis A.	3. Kontrimas G.
28. Remeikis D.	8. Rudys T.
11. Rinkevicius T.	33. Saulis V.
12. Sakaitis R.	23. Young J.
7. Sarakauskas S.	7. Ziubrys J.
39. Virkutis J.
Coaches
. Gaidamavicius T.	. Mikalocius A.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Neptūnas-Akvaservis is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 451:392. (average 90.2:78.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 195:160. (average 97.5:80).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Neptunas 2	3	1	2	247:240	1
17	Kretinga	3	0	3	226:273	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
21.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	89:91 OT ✺
19.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vilniaus Stekas	77:70 ✺
14.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Omega Tauras	83:64 ✺
07.02.26	Sūduva - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	98:60 ✺
05.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vytis Šakiai	88:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
22.02.26	Kretinga - Omega Tauras	85:80 ✺
19.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	61:68 ✺
14.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	75:73 ✺
07.02.26	Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris-2	64:104 ✺
05.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Kretinga	80:82 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
31.01.26	Kretinga - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	77:88
04.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kretinga	98:71
01.03.25	Kretinga - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	79:90
14.12.24	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kretinga	97:89
19.10.24	Kretinga - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	76:78

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