Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Nevada Wolf Pack		San Diego State Aztecs

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.78	1.95
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.82	1.88
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevada Wolf Pack
51.1%

San Diego State Aztecs
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevada Wolf Pack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

San Diego State Aztecs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevada Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - San Diego State (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego State (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:71

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevada won 2.

Nevada is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

San Diego State is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nevada won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1329:1412. (average 66.5:70.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevada won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 642:629. (average 71.3:69.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nevada Wolf Pack basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack	65:66 ✺
30.12.25	Colorado State Rams - Nevada Wolf Pack	62:75 ✺
20.12.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Boise State Broncos	81:66 ✺
13.12.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Duquesne Dukes	78:75 ✺
07.12.25	Washington State Cougars - Nevada Wolf Pack	64:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- San Diego State Aztecs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	San Diego State Aztecs - Boise State Broncos	110:107 OT ✺
30.12.25	San Jose State Spartans - San Diego State Aztecs	68:81 ✺
20.12.25	Arizona Wildcats - San Diego State Aztecs	68:45 ✺
17.12.25	San Diego State Aztecs - Air Force Falcons	81:58 ✺
10.12.25	San Diego State Aztecs - Lamar Cardinals	89:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.03.25	San Diego State Aztecs - Nevada Wolf Pack	80:61
25.01.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs	50:69
09.02.24	Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs	70:66 OT
17.01.24	San Diego State Aztecs - Nevada Wolf Pack	71:59
31.01.23	Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs	75:66
10.01.23	San Diego State Aztecs - Nevada Wolf Pack	74:65
05.03.22	Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs	78:79

Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide