Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Fresno State Bulldogs		Nevada Wolf Pack

	1	2
	3	1.41
	3.3	1.35
	2.9	1.37
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.83	1.4
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.89)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fresno State Bulldogs
32.3%

Nevada Wolf Pack
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fresno State Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Nevada Wolf Pack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fresno State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fresno State Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevada Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nevada Wolf Pack could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:76

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fresno State won 0.

Fresno State has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nevada is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Nevada is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fresno State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1386:1545. (average 69.3:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fresno State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 458:495. (average 65.4:70.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fresno State Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.12.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	63:72 ✺
20.12.25	UNLV Rebels - Fresno State Bulldogs	84:72 ✺
10.12.25	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Fresno State Bulldogs	89:87 ✺
06.12.25	Arkansas Razorbacks - Fresno State Bulldogs	82:58 ✺
30.11.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	71:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nevada Wolf Pack basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.12.25	Colorado State Rams - Nevada Wolf Pack	62:75 ✺
20.12.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Boise State Broncos	81:66 ✺
13.12.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Duquesne Dukes	78:75 ✺
07.12.25	Washington State Cougars - Nevada Wolf Pack	64:78 ✺
02.12.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - UC San Diego Tritons	76:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.03.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Fresno State Bulldogs	86:71
10.02.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Fresno State Bulldogs	94:69
11.01.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack	66:77 OT
01.03.24	Nevada Wolf Pack - Fresno State Bulldogs	74:66
06.01.24	Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack	57:72
24.02.23	Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack	56:60
10.02.23	Nevada Wolf Pack - Fresno State Bulldogs	77:66

Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide