Match Info
NCAADate: 28 February 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
New Mexico Lobos |
|
San Diego State Aztecs |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.72 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.7 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.8 |
|
2.07 |
|
 |
1.78 |
|
1.95 |
 Watch |
 |
1.75 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.73 |
|
2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.64) |
|
2.03 ↓
(2.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 148.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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New Mexico Lobos
53.7% | San Diego State Aztecs
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico Lobos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)San Diego State Aztecs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico Lobos than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (+4.1%)New Mexico Lobos - San Diego State Aztecs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:73 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.San Diego State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1267:1300. (average 63.4:65).Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 635:645. (average 57.7:58.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 17.01.26 | San Diego State Aztecs - New Mexico Lobos | 83:79 | | 25.02.25 | San Diego State Aztecs - New Mexico Lobos | 73:65 | | 11.01.25 | New Mexico Lobos - San Diego State Aztecs | 62:48 | | 16.03.24 | San Diego State Aztecs - New Mexico Lobos | 61:68 | | 16.02.24 | San Diego State Aztecs - New Mexico Lobos | 81:70 | | 13.01.24 | New Mexico Lobos - San Diego State Aztecs | 88:70 | | 25.02.23 | New Mexico Lobos - San Diego State Aztecs | 71:73 |
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