Match Info

NBA

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Smoothie King Center (New Orleans, LA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NBA Global League Pass


	New Orleans Pelicans		Memphis Grizzlies

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.18
	1.7	2.27
	1.65	2.36	Watch
	1.7	2.15
	1.72	2.28
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)	2.23 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 231.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Orleans Pelicans
56.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Orleans Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Orleans Pelicans's performance.

Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memphis Grizzlies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Orleans Pelicans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memphis Grizzlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

New Orleans Pelicans - Memphis Grizzlies Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Memphis (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2, OT - New Orleans (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 229.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: New Orleans Pelicans will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 6 - 75%). Memphis (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 118:115

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Bey S.	0. Wells J.
1. Williamson Z.	8. Jackson J.
22. Queen D.	31. Landale J.
2. Jones H.	23. Coward C.
25. Murphy T.	24. Spencer C.
Coaches
. Borrego J.	. Iisalo T.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 1.

Recent performances by New Orleans have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Memphis has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, New Orleans has had a series of away games.

Recently, Memphis has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in New Orleans: Murray D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Memphis: Aldama S. (Knee Injury) Clarke B. (Calf Injury) Edey Z. (Ankle Injury) Jerome T. (Calf Injury) Morant J. (Elbow Injury) Pippen Jr S. (Toe Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2267:2372. (average 113.4:118.6).

Including home matches between the teams, New Orleans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1133:1146. (average 113.3:114.6).

Outrights of NBA for now

New Orleans Pelicans: 0.25% Memphis Grizzlies: 0.19%

Last Results with these Odds

New Orleans Pelicans - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Orleans Pelicans
NBA
27.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - New Orleans Pelicans	104:95 ✺
25.01.26	San Antonio Spurs - New Orleans Pelicans	95:104 ✺
23.01.26	Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans	127:133 ✺
21.01.26	New Orleans Pelicans - Detroit Pistons	104:112 ✺
18.01.26	Houston Rockets - New Orleans Pelicans	119:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWLL
- Memphis Grizzlies
NBA
28.01.26	Memphis Grizzlies - Charlotte Hornets	97:112 ✺
26.01.26	Houston Rockets - Memphis Grizzlies	108:99 ✺
23.01.26	Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans	127:133 ✺
21.01.26	Memphis Grizzlies - Atlanta Hawks	122:124 ✺
18.01.26	Memphis Grizzlies - Orlando Magic	126:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
23.01.26	Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans	127:133
26.11.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Memphis Grizzlies	128:133 OT
22.10.25	Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans	128:122
09.03.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Memphis Grizzlies	104:107
24.01.25	Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans	139:126
27.12.24	New Orleans Pelicans - Memphis Grizzlies	124:132
29.11.24	Memphis Grizzlies - New Orleans Pelicans	120:109

New Orleans Pelicans - Memphis Grizzlies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide