What is the expert prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks?

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New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, November 22, 2025)

Match Info

NBA

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Smoothie King Center (New Orleans, LA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	New Orleans Pelicans		Atlanta Hawks

	1	2
	4.5	1.22	Watch
	4.55	1.22
	3.60	1.29	Watch
	4.36	1.26
	3.25	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.41)	1.27 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 232.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Orleans Pelicans
23.8%

Atlanta Hawks
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

78.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Orleans Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Atlanta Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Hawks than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Atlanta will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -10.5, OT - Atlanta (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlanta Hawks will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlanta (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:121

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Peavy M.	10. Risacher Z.
41. Bey S.	1. Johnson J.
22. Queen D.	8. Porzingis K.
25. Murphy T.	7. Alexander-Walker N.
0. Fears J.	5. Daniels D.
Substitutes
15. Alvarado J.	18. Gueye M.
24. Hawkins J.	33. Houstan C.
9. Jordan D.	3. Kennard L.
55. Looney K.	27. Krejci V.
11. McGowens B.	14. Newell A.
21. Missi Y.	0. Toppin J.
Coaches
. Borrego J.	. Snyder Q.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 1.

New Orleans has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlanta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

New Orleans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, New Orleans has had a series of home games.

Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlanta is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in New Orleans: Matkovic K. (Calf Injury) Murray D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Poole J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atlanta: Young T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2208:2241. (average 110.4:112.1).

Including home matches between the teams, New Orleans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 760:819. (average 108.6:117).

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Last Results with these Odds

New Orleans Pelicans - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 28.81%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Atlanta Hawks - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 71.19%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Orleans Pelicans
NBA
21.11.25	Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans	118:115 ✺
19.11.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets	118:125 ✺
17.11.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Oklahoma City Thunder	109:126 ✺
16.11.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Golden State Warriors	106:124 ✺
14.11.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Los Angeles Lakers	104:118 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlanta Hawks
NBA
20.11.25	San Antonio Spurs - Atlanta Hawks	135:126 ✺
18.11.25	Atlanta Hawks - Detroit Pistons	112:120 ✺
16.11.25	Phoenix Suns - Atlanta Hawks	122:124 ✺
13.11.25	Utah Jazz - Atlanta Hawks	122:132 ✺
12.11.25	Sacramento Kings - Atlanta Hawks	100:133 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
02.12.24	Atlanta Hawks - New Orleans Pelicans	124:112
03.11.24	New Orleans Pelicans - Atlanta Hawks	111:126
10.03.24	Atlanta Hawks - New Orleans Pelicans	103:116
04.11.23	New Orleans Pelicans - Atlanta Hawks	105:123
14.10.23	Atlanta Hawks - New Orleans Pelicans	110:105
07.02.23	New Orleans Pelicans - Atlanta Hawks	116:107
05.11.22	Atlanta Hawks - New Orleans Pelicans	124:121 OT (109:109)

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