The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Orleans Pelicans 33%
Orlando Magic 67%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
54.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Orleans Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Orleans Pelicans's form might have worsened.
Orlando Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Magic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Orleans Pelicans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Magic than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando Magic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
0%
58.3%
New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Orlando will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +3.5, OT - New Orleans (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -5.5, OT - Orlando (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Orlando (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 115:122
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Jones H.
22. Wagner F.
1. Williamson Z.
5. Banchero P.
21. Missi Y.
34. Carter W.
41. Bey S.
3. Bane D.
0. Fears J.
4. Suggs J.
Coaches
. Borrego J.
. Mosley J.
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 1.
New Orleans has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Orlando has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Orlando may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, New Orleans has had a series of away games.
Orlando might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in New Orleans: Matkovic K.
(Back Injury)
McGowens B.
(Toe Injury)
Murray D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Orlando: Black A.
(Back Injury)
Isaac J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 2145:2254. (average 107.3:112.7).
Including home matches between the teams, New Orleans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1026:1087. (average 102.6:108.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Orlando Magic - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.