Match Info
NBL1 EastDate: 12 July 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Nbl+ |
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Newcastle Falcons |
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Hornsby Spiders |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.44 |
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2.60 |
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 |
1.42 |
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2.45 |
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 |
1.25 |
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3.45 |
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 |
1.42 |
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2.63 |
Watch |
 |
1.24 |
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3.4 |
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 |
1.37 |
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2.85 |
Watch |
 |
1.32 |
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2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.48) |
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2.9 ↑
(2.37) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 165.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle Falcons
68.2% | Hornsby Spiders
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Falcons's performance.Hornsby Spiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hornsby Spiders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Falcons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornsby Spiders than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hornsby Spiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Newcastle Falcons - Hornsby Spiders Predictions
Users Predictions:
Newcastle Falcons will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81 
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Preview
Newcastle has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Hornsby Spiders's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Newcastle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 428:372. (average 85.6:74.4).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 143:106. (average 71.5:53).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL1 East | | | 14.06.26 | Hornsby Spiders - Newcastle Falcons | 89:104 | | 17.05.25 | Hornsby Spiders - Newcastle Falcons | 80:77 | | 06.07.24 | Hornsby Spiders - Newcastle Falcons | 97:104 | | 20.04.24 | Newcastle Falcons - Hornsby Spiders | 81:61 | | 17.06.23 | Newcastle Falcons - Hornsby Spiders | 62:45 |
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