Match Info

NBL1 East Women

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Newcastle Falcons		Maitland Mustangs

	1	2
			Watch
	1.04	6.75
	1.02	7.86
	1.03	8.24	Watch
	1.01	9.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.02)	8.14 ↓ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 131.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newcastle Falcons
88.8%

Maitland Mustangs
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Maitland Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:58

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4.

Newcastle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maitland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Maitland has had a series of away games.

In this match, Newcastle is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 553:457. (average 79:65.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 250:200. (average 83.3:66.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Falcons Basketball Women
Australian NBL1 East Women
09.05.26	Norths Bears - Newcastle Falcons	93:75 ✺
02.05.26	Newcastle Falcons - Inner West Bulls	110:67 ✺
02.05.26	Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Falcons	75:79 ✺
18.04.26	Newcastle Falcons - Canberra Nationals	75:57 ✺
11.04.26	Sydney Comets - Newcastle Falcons	60:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWW
- Maitland Mustangs Women
Australian NBL1 East Women
09.05.26	Albury Wodonga Bandits - Maitland Mustangs	63:65 ✺
02.05.26	Bankstown Bruins - Maitland Mustangs	88:77 ✺
25.04.26	Hornsby Spiders - Maitland Mustangs	91:90 OT ✺
18.04.26	Maitland Mustangs - Canberra Nationals	77:57 ✺
11.04.26	Inner West Bulls - Maitland Mustangs	55:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East Women
12.07.25	Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons	67:86
03.05.25	Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs	87:76
13.07.24	Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs	94:52
06.04.24	Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons	63:76
15.07.23	Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs	69:72
15.04.23	Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons	70:61
18.06.22	Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons	57:80

Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide