Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA EUROPE CUP - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: Messe Chemnitz (Chemnitz)


	Niners Chemnitz		Cholet Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
	1.5	2.48
	1.52	2.43
	1.55	2.49
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.39	Watch
	1.49	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.37)	2.42 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niners Chemnitz
61.3%

Cholet Basket
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niners Chemnitz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niners Chemnitz's performance.

Cholet Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cholet Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niners Chemnitz than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Niners Chemnitz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cholet Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Niners Chemnitz - Cholet Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chemnitz will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cholet will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chemnitz: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Preview

Chemnitz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cholet is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chemnitz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chemnitz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niners Chemnitz
German BBL
11.12.22	BCJ Hamburg - Niners Chemnitz	81:104 ✺
06.12.22	Niners Chemnitz - Heidelberg	87:78 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
30.11.22	Niners Chemnitz - Hapoel Galil Elyon	111:79 ✺
German BBL
27.11.22	Niners Chemnitz - Brose Bamberg	75:88 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
23.11.22	Ylli - Niners Chemnitz	72:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Cholet Basket
French LNB
09.12.22	Le Portel - Cholet Basket	86:71 ✺
06.12.22	Cholet Basket - Provence Basket	73:70 ✺
02.12.22	Chorale Roanne - Cholet Basket	98:72 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.11.22	Cholet Basket - Rilski Sportist	100:75 ✺
French LNB
26.11.22	Cholet Basket - Gravelines	76:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW

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