Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	North Carolina Central Eagles		Morgan State Bears

	1	2
	1.41	2.8
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.99
	1.43	2.68	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.41	2.75
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	2.82 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina Central Eagles
66.7%

Morgan State Bears
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina Central Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Morgan State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Central Eagles than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morgan State Bears than the current prediction. (+1%)

North Carolina Central Eagles - Morgan State Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NC Central won 1.

In recent matches, NC Central has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Morgan State is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

NC Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, NC Central has had a series of home games.

Recently, Morgan State has had a series of away games.

NC Central will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Morgan State will win today's game, with odds of 2.81.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, NC Central won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1096:1019. (average 73.1:67.9).

Including home matches between the teams, NC Central won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 552:493. (average 78.9:70.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina Central Eagles basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	North Carolina Central Eagles - Coppin State Eagles	56:58 ✺
09.02.26	North Carolina Central Eagles - Delaware State Hornets	72:63 ✺
07.02.26	Norfolk State Spartans - North Carolina Central Eagles	75:68 ✺
02.02.26	North Carolina Central Eagles - Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks	65:63 ✺
17.01.26	North Carolina Central Eagles - Howard Bison	69:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- Morgan State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Morgan State Bears - Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks	79:71 ✺
31.01.26	Coppin State Eagles - Morgan State Bears	80:89 ✺
26.01.26	Norfolk State Spartans - Morgan State Bears	78:79 ✺
24.01.26	Howard Bison - Morgan State Bears	77:78 ✺
17.01.26	Delaware State Hornets - Morgan State Bears	79:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.01.26	Morgan State Bears - North Carolina Central Eagles	78:89
17.02.25	North Carolina Central Eagles - Morgan State Bears	78:92
07.01.25	Morgan State Bears - North Carolina Central Eagles	102:98 OT
04.03.24	Morgan State Bears - North Carolina Central Eagles	88:79
05.02.24	North Carolina Central Eagles - Morgan State Bears	72:79 OT
11.02.23	North Carolina Central Eagles - Morgan State Bears	83:63
07.01.23	Morgan State Bears - North Carolina Central Eagles	78:73 OT (65:65)

North Carolina Central Eagles - Morgan State Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide