Match Info

NCAA

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	North Dakota Fighting Hawks		South Dakota Coyotes

	1	2
	1.74	2.15
	1.7	2.08
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.72	2
	1.8	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)	2.08 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Dakota Fighting Hawks
54.6%

South Dakota Coyotes
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Dakota Fighting Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Dakota Fighting Hawks's performance.

South Dakota Coyotes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Dakota Coyotes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Dakota Fighting Hawks than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Dakota Fighting Hawks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Dakota Coyotes than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Dakota Coyotes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks - South Dakota Coyotes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:83

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Dakota won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

South Dakota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that North Dakota will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, North Dakota won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1225:1236. (average 72.1:72.7).

Including home matches between the teams, North Dakota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 610:614. (average 67.8:68.2).

Last Results with these Odds

North Dakota Fighting Hawks - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.18%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Dakota Fighting Hawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.01.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	80:91 ✺
10.01.26	UMKC Kangaroos - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	79:81 ✺
08.01.26	Omaha Mavericks - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	90:79 ✺
03.01.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	90:87 OT ✺
01.01.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - Oral Roberts Golden Eagles	72:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWW
- South Dakota Coyotes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.01.26	South Dakota Coyotes - UMKC Kangaroos	99:83 ✺
10.01.26	South Dakota Coyotes - Denver Pioneers	82:72 ✺
07.01.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - South Dakota Coyotes	99:86 ✺
31.12.25	North Dakota State Bison - South Dakota Coyotes	84:61 ✺
20.12.25	Kansas State Wildcats - South Dakota Coyotes	106:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.03.25	South Dakota Coyotes - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	92:79
23.01.25	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - South Dakota Coyotes	93:102
02.03.24	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - South Dakota Coyotes	95:66
01.02.24	South Dakota Coyotes - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	81:95
04.02.23	South Dakota Coyotes - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	72:86
05.01.23	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - South Dakota Coyotes	60:62
29.01.22	South Dakota Coyotes - North Dakota Fighting Hawks	80:76

North Dakota Fighting Hawks - South Dakota Coyotes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide