Match Info

NCAA

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	North Florida Ospreys		Bellarmine Knights

	1	2
	2.85	1.44
	2.6	1.45
	3.06	1.31	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.75	1.41
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.05)	1.43 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Florida Ospreys
33.9%

Bellarmine Knights
66.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Florida Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Florida Ospreys's form might have worsened.

Bellarmine Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bellarmine Knights's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Florida Ospreys than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Florida Ospreys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellarmine Knights than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bellarmine Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Florida Ospreys - Bellarmine Knights Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. North Florida (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Florida won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Bellarmine is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, North Florida won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 487:450. (average 81.2:75).

Including home matches between the teams, North Florida won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 318:304. (average 79.5:76).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

North Florida: 0.22% Bellarmine: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

North Florida Ospreys - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.74%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Florida Ospreys basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.01.26	North Florida Ospreys - Eastern Kentucky Colonels	87:85 ✺
17.01.26	Central Arkansas Bears - North Florida Ospreys	98:69 ✺
15.01.26	North Alabama Lions - North Florida Ospreys	91:105 ✺
10.01.26	North Florida Ospreys - Queens Royals	82:89 ✺
08.01.26	North Florida Ospreys - West Georgia Wolves	73:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLL
- Bellarmine Knights basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.01.26	Jacksonville Dolphins - Bellarmine Knights	70:77 ✺
17.01.26	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - Bellarmine Knights	89:69 ✺
15.01.26	Lipscomb Bisons - Bellarmine Knights	81:71 ✺
10.01.26	Bellarmine Knights - North Alabama Lions	73:82 ✺
08.01.26	Bellarmine Knights - Central Arkansas Bears	84:78 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.02.25	North Florida Ospreys - Bellarmine Knights	95:88
11.01.25	Bellarmine Knights - North Florida Ospreys	83:98
25.01.24	Bellarmine Knights - North Florida Ospreys	63:71
27.02.23	North Florida Ospreys - Bellarmine Knights	74:76
24.02.23	North Florida Ospreys - Bellarmine Knights	79:67
09.02.22	North Florida Ospreys - Bellarmine Knights	70:73

North Florida Ospreys - Bellarmine Knights