Match Info

PHILIPPINES: Commissioners Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday


	NorthPort Batang Pier		Magnolia Hotshots

	1	2
			Watch
	2.68	1.41	Watch
	2.78	1.34
	2.93	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.66	1.45
	2.68	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (1.75)	1.4 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 210.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NorthPort Batang Pier
33.8%

Magnolia Hotshots
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NorthPort Batang Pier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NorthPort Batang Pier's form might have worsened.

Magnolia Hotshots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magnolia Hotshots's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NorthPort Batang Pier than the current prediction. (+23.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NorthPort Batang Pier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnolia Hotshots than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magnolia Hotshots, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

NorthPort Batang Pier - Magnolia Hotshots Predictions

Users Predictions: Magnolia Hotshots will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 102:108

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Preview

1st leg. NorthPort leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches NorthPort won 1.

Recent matches NorthPort is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Magnolia Hotshots is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

NorthPort could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently NorthPort have a series of guest games.

Magnolia Hotshots will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches NorthPort won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 1777:2014 (average 88.9:100.7).

Including matches at home between the teams NorthPort won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1026:1137 (average 93.3:103.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NorthPort Batang Pier
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
25.01.25	Blackwater Bossing - NorthPort Batang Pier	93:120 ✺
21.01.25	NorthPort Batang Pier - San Miguel Beermen	105:104 ✺
16.01.25	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - NorthPort Batang Pier	127:107 ✺
14.01.25	Meralco Bolts - NorthPort Batang Pier	111:94 ✺
08.01.25	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - NorthPort Batang Pier	116:119 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW
- Magnolia Hotshots
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
02.02.25	Magnolia Hotshots - NLEX Road Warriors	112:81 ✺
31.01.25	Meralco Bolts - Magnolia Hotshots	92:129 ✺
26.01.25	Magnolia Hotshots - Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions	107:78 ✺
16.01.25	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Magnolia Hotshots	104:110 ✺
12.01.25	Magnolia Hotshots - San Miguel Beermen	78:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Philippines - Commissioners Cup
04.12.24	NorthPort Batang Pier - Magnolia Hotshots	107:103
Philippines - Governors Cup
20.09.24	NorthPort Batang Pier - Magnolia Hotshots	94:110
04.09.24	NorthPort Batang Pier - Magnolia Hotshots	94:105
Philippines Cup
10.04.24	Magnolia Hotshots - NorthPort Batang Pier	104:97
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
17.11.23	Magnolia Hotshots - NorthPort Batang Pier	112:74
Philippines - Governors Cup
02.03.23	NorthPort Batang Pier - Magnolia Hotshots	109:129
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
16.10.22	Magnolia Hotshots - NorthPort Batang Pier	109:91

NorthPort Batang Pier - Magnolia Hotshots: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide