Match Info

NBL1 Central

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	20:15	Nbl+


	Norwood Flames		Central Districts Lions

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.76	1.84
	1.81	1.85
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.89)	1.88 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwood Flames
51%

Central Districts Lions
49%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwood Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Central Districts Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwood Flames than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Districts Lions than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Norwood Flames - Central Districts Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:92

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwood won 0.

Norwood has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Central Districts is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Norwood won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 939:916. (average 93.9:91.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 461:454. (average 92.2:90.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwood Flames
Australian NBL1 Central
02.05.26	Sturt Sabres - Norwood Flames	100:98 OT ✺
25.04.26	Norwood Flames - Forestville Eagles	77:90 ✺
24.04.26	West Adelaide Bearcats - Norwood Flames	73:72 ✺
18.04.26	Eastern Mavericks - Norwood Flames	68:81 ✺
11.04.26	Norwood Flames - North Adelaide Rockets	125:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW
- Central Districts Lions
Australian NBL1 Central
02.05.26	Central Districts Lions - North Adelaide Rockets	92:100 ✺
25.04.26	Central Districts Lions - South Adelaide Panthers	77:89 ✺
19.04.26	Forestville Eagles - Central Districts Lions	107:72 ✺
18.04.26	Central Districts Lions - West Adelaide Bearcats	113:88 ✺
11.04.26	Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions	97:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 Central
12.07.25	Central Districts Lions - Norwood Flames	112:93
11.05.25	Norwood Flames - Central Districts Lions	77:87
26.05.24	Norwood Flames - Central Districts Lions	89:104
28.03.24	Central Districts Lions - Norwood Flames	118:113
03.06.23	Norwood Flames - Central Districts Lions	88:91
06.04.23	Central Districts Lions - Norwood Flames	83:92
17.07.22	Central Districts Lions - Norwood Flames	74:95

Norwood Flames - Central Districts Lions

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Norwood Flames - Central Districts Lions Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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