Match Info

1. Liga - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowrocław (Inowrocław)

Referee: Rymarczyk B. (Pol)


	Noteć Inowrocław		Polonia 1912 Leszno

	1	2
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.75	1.94
	2.06	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.64)	1.83 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noteć Inowrocław
49.7%

Polonia 1912 Leszno
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noteć Inowrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Polonia 1912 Leszno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Inowrocław than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noteć Inowrocław, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia 1912 Leszno than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia 1912 Leszno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Noteć Inowrocław - Polonia 1912 Leszno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Ciesielski D.	9. Mitchell W.
11. Czujkowski A.	23. Ryzek S.
5. Frye D.	10. Soroka D.
3. Lis P.	0. Wilk P.
23. Rompa S.	33. Zmudzki M.
Substitutes
0. Gawarecki A.	8. Kankowski K.
1. Grzesiak M.	1. Najder A.
8. Hamilton C. B.	44. Pabian H.
34. Harris D.	3. Samolak M.
6. Sobiech S.	11. Sanny S.
4. Styczen M.	91. Stryjewski F.
9. Trubacz R.
Coaches
. Luszczewski P.	. Dudzik M.

Preview

Inowrocław is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Polonia 1912 Leszno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inowrocław won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 125:186. (average 62.5:93).

Including home match between the teams, Inowrocław won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:102.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSK Noteć Inowrocław
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.11.25	Sokol Lancut - Noteć Inowrocław	91:85 ✺
08.11.25	Noteć Inowrocław - GKS Tychy	75:83 ✺
31.10.25	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Noteć Inowrocław	89:72 ✺
24.10.25	Noteć Inowrocław - Miners Katowice	82:79 ✺
18.10.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Noteć Inowrocław	83:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Polonia 1912 Leszno
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
15.11.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Polonia Warszawa	83:57 ✺
09.11.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Decka Pelplin	95:86 ✺
02.11.25	Sokol Lancut - Polonia 1912 Leszno	87:64 ✺
26.10.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - GKS Tychy	88:67 ✺
18.10.25	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Polonia 1912 Leszno	101:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
06.01.18	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Noteć Inowrocław	84:67
24.09.17	Noteć Inowrocław - Polonia 1912 Leszno	58:102

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