Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NBL1 South Women

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Nunawading Spectres		Launceston Tornadoes

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.85
	1.99	1.69
	2.04	1.79
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.09	1.69	Watch
	1.99	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.5)	1.73 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nunawading Spectres
46.3%

Launceston Tornadoes
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nunawading Spectres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nunawading Spectres's performance.

Launceston Tornadoes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Launceston Tornadoes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nunawading Spectres than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nunawading Spectres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Launceston Tornadoes than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Launceston Tornadoes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nunawading Spectres - Launceston Tornadoes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:77

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nunawading won 3.

Recent matches Nunawading is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Launceston is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Launceston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nunawading have a series of home games.

Launceston will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nunawading won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 562-545.

Including matches at home between the teams Nunawading won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 252-229.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nunawading Spectres Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
12.07.24	Nunawading Spectres - Dandenong Rangers	54:75 ✺
03.07.24	Ringwood Hawks - Nunawading Spectres	71:74 ✺
29.06.24	Nunawading Spectres - Knox Raiders	72:98 ✺
29.06.24	Nunawading Spectres - Mount Gambier Pioneers	84:65 ✺
22.06.24	Nunawading Spectres - Geelong United	73:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLWL
- Launceston Tornadoes Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
06.07.24	Launceston Tornadoes - Bendigo Braves	76:73 ✺
29.06.24	Launceston Tornadoes - Kilsyth Cobras	68:76 ✺
28.06.24	Launceston Tornadoes - Diamond Valley Eagles	67:69 ✺
22.06.24	Knox Raiders - Launceston Tornadoes	99:78 ✺
22.06.24	Eltham Wildcats - Launceston Tornadoes	90:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
24.06.23	Launceston Tornadoes - Nunawading Spectres	72:89
27.08.22	Nunawading Spectres - Launceston Tornadoes	68:79
25.06.22	Nunawading Spectres - Launceston Tornadoes	105:91
Australian NBL1 Women
06.04.19	Launceston Tornadoes - Nunawading Spectres	85:87
Australian SEABL Women
11.08.18	Launceston Tornadoes - Nunawading Spectres	75:65
03.06.18	Nunawading Spectres - Launceston Tornadoes	79:59
13.08.16	Launceston Tornadoes - Nunawading Spectres	84:69

Nunawading Spectres - Launceston Tornadoes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide