Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)


	VEF Riga		Tallinna Kalev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.75
	1.31	3.11
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.34	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.83)	2.96 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VEF Riga
68.6%

Tallinna Kalev
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VEF Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VEF Riga's performance.

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VEF Riga than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VEF Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna Kalev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Bertans Dai. (C)	5. Acuff T.
0. Hollis C.	3. Jelks S.
16. Huffman B.	9. Kaukiainen S.
20. Rocak T.	15. Miska A.
3. Stokes K.	1. Rosenthal M.
Substitutes
7. Aleksandrovs R.	6. Alles M.
5. Andzevs A.	22. Dorbek M. (C)
1. Bumeisters R.	7. Kasemets K.
22. Butirins R.	8. Kurbas T.
35. Kilps K.	00. Kurucs I.
32. Niedra J.	0. Makke E.
55. Sydorov I.
Coaches
. Gulbis M.	. Killing K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VEF won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

VEF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VEF won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1665:1575. (average 83.3:78.8).

Including home matches between the teams, VEF won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 825:793. (average 82.5:79.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	VEF Riga	5	5	0	458:324	1.000
7	BC Kalev/Cramo	4	2	2	304:320	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VEF Riga
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
03.04.26	VEF Riga - Valmiera Glass Via	87:89 ✺
01.04.26	Valmiera Glass Via - VEF Riga	97:83 ✺
29.03.26	VEF Riga - Valmiera Glass Via	79:67 ✺
24.03.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	90:71 ✺
22.03.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	72:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- BC Tallinna Kalev
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
03.04.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	89:81 ✺
01.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	86:83 ✺
28.03.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	98:85 ✺
25.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Rīgas Zeļļi	102:100 OT ✺
22.03.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Tallinna Kalev	86:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
03.01.26	Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga	92:88
22.11.25	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	90:85
05.03.25	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	85:96
26.09.24	Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga	63:84
16.03.24	VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev	76:82
28.11.23	Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga	73:66
07.04.23	Tallinna Kalev - VEF Riga	65:83

VEF Riga - Tallinna Kalev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide