Match Info

B.League

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ookini Arena Maishima (Osaka)


	Osaka Evessa		Toyama Grouses

	1	2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.48	2.35
	1.51	2.58
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.67)	2.45 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osaka Evessa
61.8%

Toyama Grouses
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka Evessa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osaka Evessa's performance.

Toyama Grouses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toyama Grouses might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka Evessa than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osaka Evessa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toyama Grouses than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toyama Grouses could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Osaka Evessa - Toyama Grouses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Bonds M.	14. Izumi T.
11. Luther R.	8. Kell T.
88. Maki H.	24. Morin Y.
1. Parks B.	3. Okada Y.
7. Takahashi K.	6. Williams N.
Substitutes
20. Goda R. (C)	13. Aquino M.
31. Kinoshita M.	2. Fujinaga Y. (C)
23. Nesmith C.	25. Kuzuhura D.
60. Sakamoto S.	7. Miyamoto K.
35. Suzuki T.	12. Motum B.
15. Takeuchi J.	17. Tanaka H.
8. Uematsu Y.	11. Uto N.
Coaches
. Fujita H.	. Gomez D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 5.

Recent performances by Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Toyama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Osaka has had a series of home games.

Recently, Toyama has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1729:1678. (average 86.5:83.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Osaka won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 977:895. (average 88.8:81.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osaka Evessa
Japan B League Premier
13.03.26	Osaka Evessa - Toyama Grouses	104:102 ✺
11.03.26	Shimane Susanoo Magic - Osaka Evessa	67:75 ✺
07.03.26	Osaka Evessa - Chiba Jets	78:94 ✺
06.03.26	Osaka Evessa - Chiba Jets	82:90 ✺
15.02.26	Osaka Evessa - Kyoto Hannaryz	79:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL
- Toyama Grouses
Japan B League Premier
13.03.26	Osaka Evessa - Toyama Grouses	104:102 ✺
11.03.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Toyama Grouses	92:85 ✺
08.03.26	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyama Grouses	103:69 ✺
07.03.26	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyama Grouses	83:70 ✺
15.02.26	Toyama Grouses - Levanga Hokkaido	115:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
13.03.26	Osaka Evessa - Toyama Grouses	104:102
16.11.25	Toyama Grouses - Osaka Evessa	92:97
15.11.25	Toyama Grouses - Osaka Evessa	97:102
08.10.23	Osaka Evessa - Toyama Grouses	86:77
07.10.23	Osaka Evessa - Toyama Grouses	93:73
19.11.22	Osaka Evessa - Toyama Grouses	69:66
19.11.22	Osaka Evessa - Toyama Grouses	86:94

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