Match Info

LBF Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Ginasio Monstrinho (Ourinhos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Ourinhos		São José dos Campos

	1	2
	1.77	1.89	Watch
	1.76	1.98
	1.73	2.01
	1.53	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.48)	2.1 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 130.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourinhos
55.2%

São José dos Campos
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourinhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourinhos's form might have worsened.

São José dos Campos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São José dos Campos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourinhos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José dos Campos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ourinhos - São José dos Campos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ourinhos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). São José will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ourinhos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). São José (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:64

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Albiero	21. Horford M.
9. Jeanne	11. Mayara (C)
13. Kaw	12. Munoz J.
32. Marcal	9. Rios M.
21. Ribeiro	7. Souza B.
Substitutes
8. Djane (C)	6. Ana Julia
12. Gi Carey	1. Giih Sousa
2. Lara Pietra	0. Isa Hadassa
11. Maria Carolina	25. Lau
7. Maria Clara	5. Santana J.
4. Stefany	2. Susu
10. Thaissa
Coaches
. Marcio Pereira	. Leandro Leal

Preview

Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ourinhos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ourinhos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 274:263. (average 68.5:65.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ourinhos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 133:113. (average 66.5:56.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basquete Ourinhos
Brazilian LBF Women
17.07.25	Ourinhos - São José dos Campos	67:51 ✺
10.07.25	São José dos Campos - Ourinhos	80:67 ✺
15.06.25	Ourinhos - Basquete Blumenau	69:57 ✺
10.06.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Ourinhos	77:64 ✺
08.06.25	Cerrado - Ourinhos	64:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL
- São José dos Campos Basketball Women
Brazilian LBF Women
17.07.25	Ourinhos - São José dos Campos	67:51 ✺
10.07.25	São José dos Campos - Ourinhos	80:67 ✺
14.06.25	São José dos Campos - Cerrado	79:73 OT ✺
07.06.25	São José dos Campos - Sampaio Corrêa	76:93 ✺
04.06.25	SESI São Paulo - São José dos Campos	58:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian LBF Women
17.07.25	Ourinhos - São José dos Campos	67:51
10.07.25	São José dos Campos - Ourinhos	80:67
25.05.25	Ourinhos - São José dos Campos	66:62
11.04.25	São José dos Campos - Ourinhos	70:74

Ourinhos - São José dos Campos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide