Match Info
LPB - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Arena de Ovar (Ovar)
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Ovarense |
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Oliveirense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
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1.6 |
Watch |
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2.16 |
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1.58 |
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2.06 |
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1.66 |
Watch |
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2.15 |
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1.62 |
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2.15 |
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1.63 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (1.62) |
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1.62 ↓ (2.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 160.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ovarense 43.2% | Oliveirense 56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ovarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ovarense's form might have worsened.Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oliveirense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ovarense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oliveirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Ovarense - Oliveirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ovarense will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:82 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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5. Heath J.
| 6. Barbosa J.
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2. Jenkins J.
| 3. Boeheim J.
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10. Monteiro M.
| 46. Embalo J. (C)
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13. Soeiro R.
| 18. Sibert J.
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55. Stormo J.
| 0. Timberlake E.
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| Substitutes |
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26. Manarte V.
| 20. Araujo D.
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9. Morais N. (C)
| 29. Ayers L.
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3. Pavicevic I.
| 5. Dionisio F.
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24. Sona R.
| 33. Fonseca M.
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0. Woods A.
| 7. Foster M.
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| 11. Santos E.
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| 14. Suarez C.
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| Coaches |
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. Silva J.
| . Figueiredo J.
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Preview
Series tied 1-1. Third leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ovarense won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Oliveirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Oliveirense has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ovarense won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1552:1594. (average 77.6:79.7).Including home matches between the teams, Ovarense won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 738:715. (average 82:79.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 3 | Ovarense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96:83 | 2 |
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| 5 | Oliveirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 91:82 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese LPB | | | 13.05.26 | Oliveirense - Ovarense | 90:72 | | 09.05.26 | Ovarense - Oliveirense | 93:79 | | Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball | | | 06.03.26 | Ovarense - Oliveirense | 68:85 | | Portuguese LPB | | | 07.02.26 | Oliveirense - Ovarense | 82:97 | | 18.10.25 | Ovarense - Oliveirense | 87:82 | | 17.05.25 | Oliveirense - Ovarense | 82:83 | | 14.05.25 | Ovarense - Oliveirense | 92:77 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;