Match Info
Primera FEB - Round 21Date: 15 February 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Spain | LaLiga+ |
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Oviedo |
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Palencia |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 159.25
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Oviedo 40.1% | Palencia 59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oviedo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Oviedo - Palencia Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:82 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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11. Copes F. A.
| 17. Armus M.
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41. Cosialls R.
| 6. Borg T.
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55. Lobaco R.
| 8. Jakovics I.
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14. Shelist D.
| 9. Kamba M.
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3. Villar M.
| 13. Vrankic J.
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| Substitutes |
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48. Arias Gonzalez J.
| 11. Barrientos M.
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7. Duscak D.
| 1. Heron M.
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4. Faure A.
| 88. Levy G.
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24. Hermanson C.
| 35. Munoz A.
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44. Longarela Gonzalez P.
| 7. Oroz X.
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35. Nwaokorie F.
| 33. Vucetic V.
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5. Parham G.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 1.Oviedo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Palencia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Palencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Palencia will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1485:1571. (average 74.3:78.6).Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 643:684. (average 71.4:76).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 3 | Palencia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165:136 | 4 |
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| 18 | Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 136:185 | 2 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;