Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 18

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	CB Lucentum Alicante		Palencia

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.48	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.47	2.5
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.73)	2.52 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CB Lucentum Alicante
63.2%

Palencia
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Lucentum Alicante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CB Lucentum Alicante's performance.

Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CB Lucentum Alicante than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CB Lucentum Alicante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CB Lucentum Alicante - Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:80

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Geu D.	17. Armus M.
13. Larsen K.	6. Borg T.
8. Mwema J.	8. Jakovics I.
10. Polanco E.	9. Kamba M.
33. Torres M.	35. Munoz A.
Substitutes
12. Boubacar C.	11. Barrientos M.
4. Ceccardi S.	4. Gomez Fernandez O.
21. Jorda A.	15. Gonzalez J.
24. Llorente S.	7. Oroz X.
3. Mendikote U.	13. Vrankic J.
15. Richardson T.	2. Wintering A.
14. Villen I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CB Lucentum Alicante won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

CB Lucentum Alicante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Palencia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, CB Lucentum Alicante won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 950:1027. (average 73.1:79).

Including home matches between the teams, CB Lucentum Alicante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 364:386. (average 72.8:77.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Alicante	2	2	0	177:146	4
3	Palencia	2	2	0	165:136	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Lucentum Alicante
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
17.01.26	Obradoiro CAB - CB Lucentum Alicante	87:75 ✺
11.01.26	CB Lucentum Alicante - Básquet Coruña	89:96 ✺
04.01.26	Menorca - CB Lucentum Alicante	81:66 ✺
28.12.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Cartagena	95:77 ✺
21.12.25	Burgos - CB Lucentum Alicante	72:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
25.01.26	Palencia - Estudiantes	69:73 ✺
24.01.26	Palencia - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	69:57 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
16.01.26	Palencia - Ourense	83:77 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
07.01.26	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	79:73 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	85:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
31.10.25	Palencia - CB Lucentum Alicante	59:79
07.02.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Palencia	95:96
01.11.24	Palencia - CB Lucentum Alicante	80:64
02.06.23	CB Lucentum Alicante - Palencia	60:63
28.05.23	Palencia - CB Lucentum Alicante	75:68
26.05.23	Palencia - CB Lucentum Alicante	88:57
17.02.23	Palencia - CB Lucentum Alicante	87:79

Upcoming Matches