Match Info

Basket League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: P.A.O.K. Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	PAOK		Peristeri BC

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.1
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.35	3.37
	1.33	3.2
	1.33	3
	1.35	3.31	Watch
	1.3	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	3.18 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
70.5%

Peristeri BC
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Peristeri BC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peristeri BC than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peristeri BC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

PAOK - Peristeri BC Predictions

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Iatridis K.	22. Harris C.
6. Koniaris A.	33. Jankovic V. (C)
18. Persidis N.	14. Kaklamanakis D.
10. Slaftsakis D.	7. Mouratos V.
13. Zaras T. (C)	23. Papadakis K.
Substitutes
0. Allen T.	1. Cardenas A.
33. Dimsa T.	25. Carius W.
25. Fillios G.	5. Ittounas J.
2. Melvin C.	0. Nichols T.
26. Moore B.	4. Payne S.
11. Omoruyi C.	3. Petrakis J.
5. Tyree B.	2. Tubbergen J.
Coaches
. Boutskos P.	. Xanthopoulos V.

Preview

First leg.

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Peristeri BC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PAOK is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1420:1516. (average 71:75.8).

Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 646:603. (average 80.8:75.4).

Outrights of Greek Basket League A1 for now

PAOK: 3.97% Peristeri: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Peristeri	1	1	0	94:88	2
5	PAOK	1	1	0	88:85	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
FIBA Europe Cup
29.04.26	Bilbao Basket - PAOK	89:74 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
25.04.26	PAOK - Maroussi Athens	101:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
22.04.26	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	79:73 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
18.04.26	Iraklis - PAOK	72:76 ✺
15.04.26	PAOK - Aris	88:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Peristeri BC
Greek Basket League A1
22.04.26	Peristeri BC - Aris	78:75 ✺
18.04.26	Mykonos - Peristeri BC	92:88 ✺
04.04.26	Peristeri BC - Kolossos Rodou	87:83 ✺
28.03.26	AEK Athens - Peristeri BC	64:74 ✺
21.03.26	Peristeri BC - PAOK	75:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
21.03.26	Peristeri BC - PAOK	75:70
FIBA Europe Cup
18.03.26	Peristeri BC - PAOK	88:80
11.03.26	PAOK - Peristeri BC	101:77
Greek Basket League A1
25.10.25	PAOK - Peristeri BC	87:73
29.12.24	PAOK - Peristeri BC	84:74
05.10.24	Peristeri BC - PAOK	72:80
13.01.24	Peristeri BC - PAOK	71:35

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