Match Info

LBP - Apertura

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ivan de Bedout (Medellín)


	Paisas de Medellín		Piratas de Bogotá

	1	2
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	2.68 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paisas de Medellín
65.5%

Piratas de Bogotá
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paisas de Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Piratas de Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paisas de Medellín than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piratas de Bogotá than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Bailey D. (C)	11. Cortes S.
12. Hunt S.	3. Gedeon A.
3. Miles M.	23. Lopez B.
4. Ojeda D.	10. Quintero J.
50. Weathers M.	21. Serna S. (C)
Substitutes
88. Benitez L.	15. Hurtado J.
1. Jackson M.	2. Lans M.
8. Lozano Toro J. D.	5. Lizcano J.
21. Millan A.	24. Riascos M.
10. Mosquera E.	8. Soler F.
14. Rios J.
7. Sanabria S.
Coaches
. Nardini J.	. Tapias J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paisas won 4.

In recent matches, Paisas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Piratas is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Piratas has had a series of home games.

Paisas might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Piratas will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paisas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 755:678. (average 94.4:84.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paisas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 463:408. (average 92.6:81.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paisas de Medellín
Colombian LBP Basketball
04.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	89:93 OT ✺
29.04.26	Caimanes del Llano - Paisas de Medellín	90:80 ✺
28.04.26	Caimanes del Llano - Paisas de Medellín	81:92 ✺
25.04.26	Paisas de Medellín - Motilones del Norte	91:86 OT ✺
24.04.26	Paisas de Medellín - Motilones del Norte	91:86 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW
- Piratas de Bogotá
Colombian LBP Basketball
04.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	89:93 OT ✺
01.05.26	Piratas de Bogotá - Caribbean Storm Islands	91:47 ✺
30.04.26	Piratas de Bogotá - Caribbean Storm Islands	106:71 ✺
27.04.26	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	94:79 ✺
26.04.26	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	85:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian LBP Basketball
04.05.26	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	89:93 OT
19.06.25	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	89:64
18.06.25	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	104:78
07.06.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Paisas de Medellín	78:97
06.06.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Paisas de Medellín	97:102
25.11.24	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	94:87
24.11.24	Paisas de Medellín - Piratas de Bogotá	87:86

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