Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 8

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Palencia		Girona

	1	2
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.72	2.15
	1.72	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.19
	1.75	2.15
	1.71	2.19	Watch
	1.69	2.22	Watch
	1.7	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.72)	2.17 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia
55.8%

Girona
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Palencia aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Girona aligns with the current prediction.

Palencia - Girona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:79

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Palencia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Girona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Palencia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 134-162.

Including matches at home between the teams Palencia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 62-73.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish ACB League
29.10.23	Real Madrid - Palencia	91:68 ✺
21.10.23	Palencia - CB Breogán	74:59 ✺
15.10.23	Basquet Manresa - Palencia	92:91 ✺
07.10.23	Palencia - Joventut Badalona	69:75 ✺
01.10.23	BC Andorra - Palencia	87:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Bàsquet Girona
Spanish ACB League
28.10.23	Girona - UCAM Murcia	82:76 ✺
21.10.23	Obradoiro CAB - Girona	85:79 ✺
14.10.23	Girona - Canarias	66:79 ✺
08.10.23	Girona - Real Madrid	74:93 ✺
01.10.23	Granada - Girona	91:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
10.04.22	Girona - Palencia	89:72
10.12.21	Palencia - Girona	62:73

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