Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 9

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Palencia		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
	2.67	1.52	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.6	1.52	Watch
	2.61	1.52
	2.61	1.53
	2.5	1.56	Watch
	2.6	1.52	Watch
	2.44	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.96)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia
37.2%

UCAM Murcia
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palencia's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Palencia - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: Palencia will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:83

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Preview

Palencia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Murcia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Murcia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish ACB League
04.11.23	Palencia - Girona	76:80 ✺
29.10.23	Real Madrid - Palencia	91:68 ✺
21.10.23	Palencia - CB Breogán	74:59 ✺
15.10.23	Basquet Manresa - Palencia	92:91 ✺
07.10.23	Palencia - Joventut Badalona	69:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
05.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Basquet Manresa	87:74 ✺
Champions League Basketball
01.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Igokea	72:47 ✺
Spanish ACB League
28.10.23	Girona - UCAM Murcia	82:76 ✺
21.10.23	UCAM Murcia - Gran Canaria 2014	95:69 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.10.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - UCAM Murcia	78:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

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