Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Derthona Basket Tortona		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
	2	1.71	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	2.12	1.76
	2	1.73
	2.09	1.71	Watch
	2.01	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.88)	1.72 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
45.8%

UCAM Murcia
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Derthona Basket Tortona - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: Derthona Basket Tortona will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Tortona have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.10.23	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:80 ✺
08.10.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Brindisi	69:68 ✺
01.10.23	Venezia - Derthona Basket Tortona	76:60 ✺
Italian Lega A Super Cup Basketball
23.09.23	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:63 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.23	Baskonia - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
15.10.23	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	106:92 ✺
08.10.23	Bilbao Basket - UCAM Murcia	77:68 ✺
30.09.23	UCAM Murcia - Canarias	80:68 ✺
27.09.23	UCAM Murcia - Baskonia	88:76 ✺
23.09.23	Granada - UCAM Murcia	101:104 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW

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