Match Info

Date: 3 January 2021, Sunday


	Pallacanestro Mantovana		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.66
	2.25	1.52
	2.36	1.55
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.01)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pallacanestro Mantovana
41.1%

Derthona Basket Tortona
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pallacanestro Mantovana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pallacanestro Mantovana's form might have worsened.

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derthona Basket Tortona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pallacanestro Mantovana than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pallacanestro Mantovana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derthona Basket Tortona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pallacanestro Mantovana - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:77

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Preview

Recent matches Mantovana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tortona is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tortona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tortona have a series of home games.

Tortona will have a small advantage in this match.

Tortona will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mantovana won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 446-434.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantovana won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 240-210.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Mantovana
Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
27.12.20	Basket Torino - Pallacanestro Mantovana	84:68 ✺
20.12.20	Pallacanestro Mantovana - Bergamo	75:63 ✺
13.12.20	Orzi Basket - Pallacanestro Mantovana	67:69 ✺
10.12.20	Pallacanestro Mantovana - Orlandina Basket	81:70 ✺
05.12.20	Pallacanestro Mantovana - Basket Treviglio	67:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
27.12.20	Derthona Basket Tortona - Verona	87:80 ✺
19.12.20	Urania Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	69:79 ✺
13.12.20	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Treviglio	87:69 ✺
08.12.20	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Torino	70:64 ✺
06.12.20	Derthona Basket Tortona - Orzi Basket	90:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
25.09.19	Pallacanestro Mantovana - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:79
Italian Serie A2 Play Offs Basketball
11.05.17	Derthona Basket Tortona - Pallacanestro Mantovana	73:71
08.05.17	Pallacanestro Mantovana - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:70
06.05.17	Pallacanestro Mantovana - Derthona Basket Tortona	76:61
03.05.17	Derthona Basket Tortona - Pallacanestro Mantovana	79:68
01.05.17	Derthona Basket Tortona - Pallacanestro Mantovana	72:67

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