Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A2 - ROUND 14

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Pallacanestro Nardò		Trieste

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	3.4	1.25
	3.65	1.3
	3.66	1.29
	3.5	1.29
	3.32	1.29	Watch
	3.85	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.68)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pallacanestro Nardò
26.8%

Trieste
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pallacanestro Nardò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pallacanestro Nardò's form might have worsened.

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trieste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pallacanestro Nardò than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pallacanestro Nardò, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trieste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pallacanestro Nardò - Trieste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:85

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Preview

Recent matches Pallacanestro Nardò is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trieste is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pallacanestro Nardò could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Trieste is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pallacanestro Nardò won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 82-96.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Nardò
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
06.12.23	Pallacanestro Nardò - Forlì	107:114 OT ✺
02.12.23	Udine - Pallacanestro Nardò	79:57 ✺
26.11.23	Pallacanestro Nardò - Chiusi	71:69 ✺
20.11.23	Verona - Pallacanestro Nardò	79:80 OT ✺
12.11.23	Pallacanestro Nardò - Rimini	72:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWWW
- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
03.12.23	Orzi Basket - Trieste	69:87 ✺
26.11.23	Trieste - Forlì	79:62 ✺
19.11.23	Rimini - Trieste	62:81 ✺
12.11.23	Trieste - Cividale	86:79 ✺
05.11.23	Trieste - Udine	57:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
11.10.23	Trieste - Pallacanestro Nardò	96:82

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