Match Info

Euroleague - Round 4

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Telekom Center Athens (Athens)

Referee: Sukys A. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Panathinaikos		Fenerbahçe

	1	2
	1.38	2.77	Watch
	1.40	2.75
	1.42	2.85
	1.48	2.77
	1.45	2.94
	1.46	2.7
	1.45	2.89	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	2.8 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
66.1%

Fenerbahçe
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Panathinaikos - Fenerbahçe Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Games O/U 162.5 - over (1.91) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

AH -5.5 - Panathinaikos (1.91) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Yabusele G.	31. Shields S.
72. Mantzoukas L.	12. Key B.
44. Mitoglou K.	1. Bingham M.
22. Grant J.	8. Horton-Tucker T.
0. Kalaitzakis P.	11. Forest T.
Substitutes
7. Badio B.	2. Baldwin W.
32. Bonga I.	21. Clyburn W.
93. Fall M.	9. Juzang J.
3. Francisco S.	4. Melli N.
11. Hayes N.	5. Sanli S.
26. Lessort M.	43. Sargiunas I.
17. Rogkavopoulos N.	30. Silva C.
Coaches
. Obradovic Z.	. Jasikevicius S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 3.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Panathinaikos holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1469:1531 (averaging 73.5:76.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Panathinaikos against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 883:862 goals (averaging 80.3:78.4 per game).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Panathinaikos: 21.98% Fenerbahce: 10.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
1	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	375:292
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302

Last Results with these Odds

Panathinaikos - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.12%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos BC
Greek Basket League A1
04.10.26	Panathinaikos - Vikos	103:74 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Panathinaikos - Maccabi Tel Aviv	90:67 ✺
30.09.26	Panathinaikos - ASVEL Basket	102:79 ✺
Greek Super Cup Basketball
26.09.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	82:84 ✺
Euroleague
24.09.26	Panathinaikos - Paris	91:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW
- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Körfez	85:84 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Dubai	76:66 ✺
29.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Bayern München	100:76 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
27.09.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Fenerbahçe	98:83 ✺
Euroleague
25.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	78:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
13.02.26	Panathinaikos - Fenerbahçe	83:85
16.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Panathinaikos	77:81
23.05.25	Fenerbahçe - Panathinaikos	82:76
04.02.25	Panathinaikos - Fenerbahçe	91:90
25.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Panathinaikos	76:81
24.05.24	Panathinaikos - Fenerbahçe	73:57
09.02.24	Panathinaikos - Fenerbahçe	74:63

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