Match Info

Basket League - Round 4

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: DAK Glyfada M. Liugas (Glyfada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Panionios		Aris

	1	2
			Watch
	1.86	1.9
	1.75	2.09
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.78	1.96	Watch
	1.7	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)	2 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panionios
53.2%

Aris
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panionios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panionios than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Panionios - Aris Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2, OT - Aris (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Aris (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1Q - Aris (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aris will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aris will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Panionios (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Aris (votes: 13 - 92.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Kreuser J.	23. Enoch S.
11. Lewis M.	7. Forbes B.
5. Lountzis M.	3. Jones B.
2. Starks M.	98. Kulboka A.
0. Watson N.	11. Poulianitis S.
Substitutes
88. Gkikas N. (C)	13. Bochoridis E. (C)
9. Oikonomopoulos S.	10. Forester J.
12. Panagopoulos D.	12. Gkiouzelis G.
3. Papas G.	25. Harrell R.
41. Patrikis A.	17. Kazamias V.
7. Tsalmpouris G.	2. Lefas P.
33. Wahl T.	0. Mitrou-Long E.
Coaches
. Chougkaz C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panionios won 3.

Panionios is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aris's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Panionios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Panionios has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Panionios won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1096:1078. (average 68.5:67.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Panionios won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 558:514. (average 79.7:73.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panionios BC
Eurocup
22.10.25	KK Budućnost - Panionios	91:63 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
19.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panionios	81:66 ✺
Eurocup
15.10.25	Panionios - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	56:66 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
12.10.25	AEK Athens - Panionios	93:73 ✺
Eurocup
07.10.25	Ratiopharm Ulm - Panionios	103:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Eurocup
21.10.25	Aris - Basquet Manresa	79:86 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
18.10.25	Maroussi Athens - Aris	108:103 OT ✺
Eurocup
14.10.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Aris	80:59 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
11.10.25	Aris - Kolossos Rodou	65:73 ✺
Eurocup
08.10.25	Aris - BCJ Hamburg	98:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
29.03.25	Panionios - Aris	92:78
08.02.25	Aris - Panionios	80:72
16.11.24	Panionios - Aris	79:62
08.12.19	Aris - Panionios	80:86
02.02.19	Aris - Panionios	79:56
21.10.18	Panionios - Aris	70:66
05.05.18	Aris - Panionios	60:48

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