Match Info

Greek Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou (Marousi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Maroussi Athens		Aris

	1	2
	3.15	1.32	Watch
	3.15	1.28	Watch
	3.2	1.29
	3.13	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.19	1.33
	3.7	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.05)	1.3 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maroussi Athens
28.6%

Aris
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maroussi Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maroussi Athens's form might have worsened.

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroussi Athens than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maroussi Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Maroussi Athens - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: Aris will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aris will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:89

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroussi won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Maroussi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aris is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maroussi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 612:591. (average 87.4:84.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Maroussi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 356:338. (average 89:84.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maroussi Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
14.02.26	Maroussi Athens - Karditsas	78:77 ✺
07.02.26	AEK Athens - Maroussi Athens	83:74 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
04.02.26	Promitheas Patras - Maroussi Athens	92:100 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.02.26	Maroussi Athens - Panionios	97:105 ✺
25.01.26	Panathinaikos - Maroussi Athens	92:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
14.02.26	Mykonos - Aris	74:83 ✺
Eurocup
11.02.26	U BT Cluj-Napoca - Aris	111:92 ✺
04.02.26	Aris - Neptūnas	83:64 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.02.26	Aris - Panathinaikos	102:95 OT ✺
Eurocup
28.01.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Aris	81:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
18.10.25	Maroussi Athens - Aris	108:103 OT
17.05.25	Aris - Maroussi Athens	114:109 OT
26.04.25	Maroussi Athens - Aris	91:68
01.02.25	Maroussi Athens - Aris	73:78
09.11.24	Aris - Maroussi Athens	72:74
10.03.24	Aris - Maroussi Athens	67:73
03.12.23	Maroussi Athens - Aris	84:89

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