Match Info

LNB - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Adidas Arena (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Paris		AS Monaco Basket

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.50	2.50
	1.52	2.4
	1.51	2.64
	1.55	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.59	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris
61.7%

AS Monaco Basket
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

AS Monaco Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Paris - AS Monaco Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Paris will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Monaco will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hommes D.	11. Diallo A. (C)
9. Stevens L.	4. Blossomgame J.
15. Faye M.	13. Hayes K.
7. Herrera S. (C)	0. Okobo E.
2. Hifi N.	26. Nedovic N.
Substitutes
4. Cavaliere L.	23. Begarin J.
13. Dokossi A.	32. James M.
22. M'Baye A.	5. Makoundou Y.
24. Ouattara Y.	8. Michee K.
8. Rhoden J.	9. Moungalla Y.
5. Robinson J.	22. Tarpey T.
18. Shahrvin E.
Coaches
. Tabellini F.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paris could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paris won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1780:1864. (average 89:93.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 976:1027. (average 88.7:93.4).

Outrights of French LNB for now

Paris: 34.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Paris	2	2	0	181:174	1.000

Last Results with these Odds

Paris - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.54%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.

AS Monaco Basket - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Basketball
French LNB
21.06.26	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	96:84 ✺
19.06.26	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	77:88 ✺
17.06.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	90:102 ✺
14.06.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	95:91 ✺
09.06.26	Cholet Basket - Paris	91:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW
- AS Monaco Basket
French LNB
21.06.26	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	96:84 ✺
19.06.26	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	77:88 ✺
17.06.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	90:102 ✺
14.06.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	95:91 ✺
08.06.26	Nanterre - AS Monaco Basket	78:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
21.06.26	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	96:84
19.06.26	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	77:88
17.06.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	90:102
14.06.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	95:91
10.05.26	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	95:123
Euroleague
15.01.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	87:95
04.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Paris	125:104

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