Match Info

LNB - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: La Meilleraie (Cholet)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Cholet Basket		Paris

	1	2
	3.00	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.40
	2.85	1.40
	3.20	1.37
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.40
	2.96	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.01)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet Basket
32.4%

Paris
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Cholet Basket - Paris Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Cholet will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Paris will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Paris (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Agbo C.	4. Cavaliere L.
11. Ayayi G.	15. Faye M.
44. Campbell T. (C)	8. Rhoden J.
93. Diarra M.	5. Robinson J.
8. McNeace J.	9. Stevens L.
Substitutes
7. De Sousa N.	11. Ayayi J.
6. Diawara D.	7. Herrera S. (C)
3. Gholston D.	2. Hifi N.
21. Justice K.	34. Hommes D.
49. Rapini L.	22. M'Baye A.
79. Towo-Nansi A.	24. Ouattara Y.
22. Wahad Q.	18. Shahrvin E.

Preview

Paris leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cholet won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Paris could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cholet won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1410:1486. (average 82.9:87.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cholet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 557:605. (average 79.6:86.4).

Outrights of French LNB for now

Paris: 35.12% Cholet: 1.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Paris	2	2	0	181:174	1.000
10	Cholet	2	1	1	170:173	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cholet Basket
French LNB
07.06.26	Cholet Basket - Paris	86:95 ✺
04.06.26	Paris - Cholet Basket	100:77 ✺
02.06.26	Paris - Cholet Basket	89:90 ✺
30.05.26	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	75:80 OT ✺
28.05.26	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	77:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LLWWW
- Paris Basketball
French LNB
07.06.26	Cholet Basket - Paris	86:95 ✺
04.06.26	Paris - Cholet Basket	100:77 ✺
02.06.26	Paris - Cholet Basket	89:90 ✺
30.05.26	Paris - Strasbourg	89:75 ✺
28.05.26	Strasbourg - Paris	87:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
07.06.26	Cholet Basket - Paris	86:95
04.06.26	Paris - Cholet Basket	100:77
02.06.26	Paris - Cholet Basket	89:90
19.04.26	Cholet Basket - Paris	93:99
21.12.25	Paris - Cholet Basket	107:84
26.01.25	Paris - Cholet Basket	90:77
26.10.24	Cholet Basket - Paris	90:80

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