Match Info

Euroleague - Round 18

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Adidas Arena (Paris)

Referee: Peer A. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Spain	M+ Deportes 3
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Paris		Crvena Zvezda

	1	2
	2	1.77	Watch
	2	1.83
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.06	1.82	Watch
	2.05	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paris
46.9%

Crvena Zvezda
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Paris - Crvena Zvezda Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Paris will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Crvena Zvezda (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:90

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Morgan J.	12. Kalinic N.
22. M'Baye A.	33. Nwora J.
15. Faye M.	20. Motiejunas D.
9. Stevens L.	95. Moneke C.
2. Hifi N.	0. Miller-McIntyre C.
Substitutes
4. Cavaliere L.	6. Butler J.
13. Dokossi A.	7. Davidovac D.
7. Herrera S.	4. Graham D.
24. Ouattara Y.	15. Izundu E.
8. Rhoden J.	2. Miljenovic S.
5. Robinson J.	37. Ojeleye S.
35. Willis D.	99. Yago
Coaches
. Tabellini F.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

Paris has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crvena Zvezda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crvena Zvezda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 253:235. (average 84.3:78.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 184:150. (average 92:75).

Last Results with these Odds

Crvena Zvezda - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Basketball
French LNB
21.12.25	Paris - Cholet Basket	107:84 ✺
Euroleague
18.12.25	Real Madrid - Paris	95:90 ✺
16.12.25	Paris - Barcelona	69:85 ✺
French LNB
13.12.25	Nancy - Paris	97:90 ✺
Euroleague
11.12.25	Paris - Žalgiris Kaunas	105:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
19.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	90:89 ✺
16.12.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Crvena Zvezda	84:78 ✺
Adriatic League
14.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Spartak Subotica	93:77 ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	79:76 ✺
Adriatic League
08.12.25	Bosna - Crvena Zvezda	77:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.25	Paris - Crvena Zvezda	107:70
Euroleague
10.01.25	Crvena Zvezda - Paris	85:69
04.10.24	Paris - Crvena Zvezda	77:80

Upcoming Matches